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Cake day: April 4th, 2024

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  • Public transit seemed relatively safe to me, when I was there 2 years ago. The Amalfi coast is no that great though. Rather go to Naples, use a day for small boat trip to either Capri or Ischia, one day to take the commuter train to Herculaneum. After that take the train from Naples to Salerno, which is a good bit less touristy and ceaper than the real Amalfi coast. Perhaps take a boat from Salerno to look at the Amalfi coast from the sea (more beautiful that way anyway) or enjoye some of the beaches that are reachable with public transit nearby. In Salerno you can also take a train or Bus to Paestum, which is a UNESCO world heritage site has some greek temples from 600 BC.



















  • where true experiments are possible, but I have many colleagues who can’t ethically run true experiments. It’s surveys or nothing for the most part. They have very advanced statistics to account for the lack of control in their research.

    There is a whole discipline on causal inference with observational data that is more than a hundred years old (e.g. John Snow doing a diff-in-diff-strategy). Usually, it boils down to not having to control for every detail but to get plausibly exogeneous variation in your treatment either due to a policy only implemented in one group(state), a regulatory threshold, or other “natural experiments”. Social scientists typically need to rely on such replacements for true experiments. Having a good survey is only the first step before you even think at how you could potentially get at the effects of interest. Looking at some correlations in a survey is usually only some first descriptive to find interesting patterns. Survey design itself is a whole different problem. There you also have a experiments and try to find how non-response and wrong answers work. For example, there are surveys in scandinavia, the netherlands, france in Germany that can easily be linked to social security (or even individual credit card data in the danish case) to validate answers or directly use high-quality administrative data.